Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.029881 0.032631 0.035347 0.038224 0.041182 0.044129 0.047283
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.024795 0.029258 0.033779 0.038675 0.043806 0.049004 0.054649
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.020328 0.025861 0.031598 0.037928 0.044663 0.051574 0.059162
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.017318 0.023640 0.030335 0.037838 0.045921 0.054294 0.063559
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.014667 0.021555 0.029006 0.037479 0.046708 0.056349 0.067088
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012293 0.019580 0.027639 0.036937 0.047170 0.057938 0.070005
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009693 0.017141 0.025606 0.035537 0.046588 0.058312 0.071530
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.008760 0.016599 0.025666 0.036406 0.048436 0.061255 0.075754
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007489 0.015542 0.025061 0.036469 0.049343 0.063130 0.078782
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.005879 0.013917 0.023708 0.035618 0.049180 0.063792 0.080452
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004993 0.013162 0.023344 0.035861 0.050205 0.065722 0.083464
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003974 0.012123 0.022581 0.035602 0.050632 0.066964 0.085698
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002895 0.010977 0.021769 0.035419 0.051309 0.068669 0.088655
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002116 0.010194 0.021413 0.035802 0.052676 0.071191 0.092572
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001117 0.008781 0.020162 0.035065 0.052725 0.072222 0.094828
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000527 0.007856 0.019485 0.034977 0.053485 0.074015 0.097893
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.006857 0.018632 0.034628 0.053908 0.075399 0.100475
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005842 0.017673 0.034101 0.054088 0.076482 0.102696
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004496 0.016102 0.032740 0.053244 0.076372 0.103562
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004308 0.016271 0.033585 0.054998 0.079197 0.107678
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003777 0.015851 0.033646 0.055801 0.080922 0.110550
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002910 0.014780 0.032819 0.055514 0.081383 0.111988
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002548 0.014531 0.033055 0.056491 0.083275 0.115016